Brazil Valuation Standards (ABRASV 2026) Guide
Neeraj Agarwal
I Neeraj Agarwal, am a Fellow Member of ICAI, practicing under the banner of M/s AAN & Associates LLP, a firm based out of  Banglore Mumbai.
I am also registered under Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India as a Registered Valuer for valuation of Security or Financial Assets (Passed in Feb 2020)
I am also holding Bachelor of Commerce (B. Com) degree from Calcutta University (Passed in 2011).
I have corporate working experience in Wipro. After working in Wipro for a short period I started my practice in late 2013 and have been in practice so far for the last 10 years. I have also completed a Certificate Course by ICAI on IND-AS in 2020. I have also cleared Social Auditor Exam conducted by NISM.
I have been inducted as a Special Invitee to the Sustainability Reporting Standard Board, ICAI for the FY 2023-24.
1. Context: Why a National Standard?
- Agribusiness accounts for a significant GDP share and export receipts.
- Mining output, especially iron ore and base metals, drives corporate earnings and FDI inflows.
- BRL volatility is driven by global risk sentiment and local fiscal policy.
- Tax reform dynamics, as Brazil continually adjusts its fiscal regime.
- Global investment norms, where FDI valuations are benchmarked against frameworks like IVS.
2. Key Structural Elements of ABRASV 2026
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Objective and Scope
- Fair Value measurement for accounting and capital market purposes
- Valuations used in cross-border M&A and FDI negotiations
- Asset-based valuations in regulated sectors
Exchange Rate Treatment — A Signature Differentiator
- Instead of static FX assumptions, ABRASV recommends scenario-based stochastic modeling for BRL, particularly in long-dated cash flows.
- This contrasts with IVS, which permits currency risk but does not standardize how to integrate exchange volatility systematically.
- ABRASV suggests overlaying commodity price curves with BRL stochastic paths to reflect the dual exposure (commodity + exchange).
- The recommended approach uses Monte Carlo simulation with joint distribution mapping — a method seldom spelled out in IVS.
Country Risk Premium and Discount Rates
- A global CAPM discount rate is first calibrated per IVS.
- ABRASV mandates an explicit country risk premium adjustment tied to sovereign credit spreads + forward-looking macro expectations.
3. Commodity Sector Modeling: Agribusiness vs Mining
Agribusiness
- Revenues are seasonal and tied to crop cycles and export logistics costs.
- ABRASV requires point-in-time harvest cycle analysis, which is not emphasized in IVS.
| Planting | Input cost models tied to global fertilizer and fuel price curves |
| Harvest | Spot commodity futures pricing adjusted for logistics and export duties |
| Storage | Contango/backwardation impacts on net cash flows |
Mining
- Resource depletion schedules
- Commodity price forecasts with BRL overlay
- Regulatory risk adjustments (e.g., royalty changes, export taxes)
4. Tax Reform Considerations — A Brazilian TCJA Parallel?
- Shifts from corporate-based taxes to turnover or value-added taxes
- Potential credit allowances for invested capital
- Explicit modeling of effective tax rates under alternate regimes
- Use of forward effective tax rate curves rather than static historical statutory rates
- Lowering effective tax rates boosts after-tax cash flows and enterprise value.
- But increased tax uncertainty can raise discount rates.
5. FDI Implications
Transparency Gains
- Clear methodologies for BRL risk treatment
- Sector-specific assumptions are openly documented.
- Mandatory scenario disclosures
WACC and Capital Structuring
- Bid pricing for acquisitions
- Yield expectations for strategic investors.
- Financing decisions (debt vs equity mix)
Valuation Drivers for FDI
- Hedging strategies for BRL exposure
- Tax optimization under evolving Brazilian tax law
- Commodity price risk mitigation
6. Practical Takeaways
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| Adoption | Global Framework | Brazil-Tailored Application |
| BRL Volatility | Implicitly Permissive | Explicit Methodology |
| Commodity Sector | Generic DCF Guidance | Sector-Specific Modeling |
| Tax Assumptions | Market Participant | Scenario-Driven |
| Country Risk | Permissive | Mandatory Premium Calculation |
Conclusion
Disclaimer
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